Predicting Solar Storms Months in Advance — Stefan Burns’ Method Explained

I put out a a long range space weather forecast on June 4th. I was actually looking at this even before then, but I put out an official post on YouTube and Twitter on June 4th laying out why I thought there would be enhance either either or and or enhanced solar activity and geomagnetic activity around September 11th to 16th because we had critical planetary geometry. Sometimes the planets align such a way that it clearly forms what you could call critical planetary geometry. Um, and the book on this is from JH Nelson, who did this back in like the 40s, 50s, 60s. So, I'm like continuing that work. And so far, my forecasts have been pretty spot-on. I've missed one, but my record is not too long yet. I'm just starting to apply this method. But, you know, June 4th to September 11th to 13th, that's like a three-month heads up for long range space weather forecast. Well, she she's like in official space weather forecasting or something, I don't know. and she commented saying like putting out a six- day window for enhanced activity and then saying you nailed it when you got it is wild but sometimes and that's kind of true but there's times where there's like 40 50 60 days where there's nothing and also it's three months in advance it's not just like the day of it's like three months in advance and boom we had a G3 storm right on the 15th of September and it was only forecasted to be a G >> what's a G3 storm can you explain what that is >> yeah so there's uh different levels of geomminic storms. This when the Earth's magnetic field is really vibrating and oscillating like crazy. Level one is a minor storm. Level five is an extreme storm. So G3 is right in the middle and that's a strong storm. And we typically don't get G3 storms from the type of space weather conditions that happened um to create that G3 storm. It's usually like a G1, G2, but you had a G3. I mean there's a lot of ways of like looking interpreting it but fundamentally like I put out this thing on June 4th and right in that time window like precisely we had a G3 storm that's the strongest we've had in since the beginning of August. So like you know give credit where credit's due. If you're really interested in space weather forecasting, let's say this is your job, you're really interested in that, you should be open to all methods that help you to forecast space weather, especially long range, right? If there was if there was someone that operates an industry like let's say satellites and they watch me and they had on their calendar marked like possible enhanced disturbance for that time window, right? And it's hard to give it a more precise date because the geometry takes some time to to to combine and then lessen. But if that person that silent operator had marked their calendar with those dates, they would have been more prepared than the person who did not. Simple as that.